Section H4. Appendix IV: Background about UN Members and Observer States with Limited International Recognition, 2025 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
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Published Date: 12 October 2025
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Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
A Researcher in International Relations with a Focus on Security, Political and Economic Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade
Section H4. Appendix IV: Background about UN Members and Observer States with Limited International Recognition, 2025 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Section H4. Appendix IV - List of Contents
Section H4. Appendix IV: Background about UN Members and Observer States with Limited International Recognition, 2025 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Section H4.1 Armenia
Section H4.2 China
Section H4.3 Cyprus
Section H4.4 Israel
Section H4.5 North Korea
Section H4.6 Palestine
Section H4.1 Armenia
The Conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh (Cite 1) triggered the Limited International Recognition in Armenia. However, in August 2025, Armenia and Pakistan formally established diplomatic relations (Cite 2) following the deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan that is supposed to resolve the conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan (Cite 3). Note, as already mentioned, the database of Limited International Recognition is updated to April 2025, so the change that occurred in August 2025 regarding Armenia does not reflect in the 2025 Global Survival Rank (GSR).
Map 74. Armenia and Azerbaijan
Cite 1. Country Without Territorial Continuity: The Conflict Case between Azerbaijan and Armenia about Nakhchivan, Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 15 September 2022 https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/15/09/2022/0053
Cite 2. Pakistan and Armenia formally establish diplomatic ties, Daily Times, 01 September 2025
Cite 3. Peace will not be fully established, "even if we sign the peace treaty" with Azerbaijan - Armenian Foreign Minister, ARKA News Agency, 10 September 2025
Section H4.2 China
China - People's Republic of China (PRC); Taiwan - Republic of China (ROC)
Until the end of WWII, Taiwan was part of mainland China, while after that, the conflict of ‘One China’ between China and Taiwan started. Importantly, until 1971, Taiwan ROC was represented by China PRC in the United Nations, while after 1971, China PRC started representing itself in the United Nations, including Taiwan ROC that lost its voting rights in the United Nations. Since then, a very limited number of countries have Formally recognized Taiwan as an Independent Country because China cuts diplomatic relations with any country that violates the policy of ‘One China’ by recognising Taiwan as an Independent Country.
Map 75. China and Taiwan
Section H4.3 Cyprus
Northern Cyprus - Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus; Cyprus - Republic of Cyprus
Cyprus was annexed by the Ottoman Empire in 1571 and most of the years after that until 1878, Cyprus was part of the Ottoman Empire. From 1878 until 1960, Cyprus was a Colony of the UK, while in 1960, Cyprus gained independence from the UK when Greece and Turkey agreed to abandon their demand for sovereignty on the island. However, the UK keeps two military bases on the island as two colonies to this day: Akrotiri and Dhekelia. Nevertheless, in 1974, a coup d'état occurred in an attempt to annex the island to Greece, which, in response, led to the Turkish invasion of Northern Cyprus. Eventually, in 1983, Northern Cyprus made a self-declaration of independence, which until today is recognised only by Turkey, while Turkey does not recognise the Republic of Cyprus.
Map 76. Cyprus Island
Section H4.4 Israel
The Arab-Israeli Conflict started in 1947 when the United Nations approved the Palestine Partition Plan. Since then, repeated wars have erupted between the State of Israel and the Arab countries when some countries have involved in the fighting against Israel, while others have given Military Aid. However, in 1979, a ‘Cold Peace Agreement’ was signed between Israel and Egypt that marked the returning of occupied Sinai, yet without returning Gaza, while in 1994, a ‘Cold Peace Agreement’ was also signed with Jordan, yet without returning the occupied West Bank (Cite 4). Hence, currently, there are two ongoing conflicts between Israel and Arab countries: i) The ongoing conflict amid the Israeli Occupation of Palestine that includes the West Bank and Gaza (Cite 5). ii) The ongoing conflict between Israel and Syria amid the Occupied Golan Heights.
Map 77. Partition Plan for Palestine in 1947 based on UN Resolution 181 aimed to end the British Mandate for Palestine by Establishing Two Independent Countries: a Jewish State and an Arab State, Including a Special Status for Jerusalem
Map 78. Israel Map after Six-Day War in 1967 that includes the Occupied Territories of Egypt (Sinai and Gaza), Jordan (West Bank), and Syria (Golan Heights)
Map 79. Israel Map since the Peace Agreements with Egypt (1979) and Jordan (1994) that still includes the Occupied Territories of Gaza (Former of Egypt), West Bank (Former of Jordan), and Golan Heights of Syria
Cite 4. The Tragedy of the Israeli Win in Six Days War: Invading Palestine and Egypt Territories without any Defence Reason but Only Because of the Military Capabilities to Do It, Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 03 September 2022 https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/03/09/2022/0413
Cite 5. Is Needed a ‘Final Solution’ in Gaza for Release of the Ten Israeli Hostages?: Exchange of Prisoners/Hostages versus Jewish Riviera in Gaza without Palestinians, Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 28 July 2025 https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/28/07/2025/1103
Section H4.5 North Korea
North Korea - Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK); South Korea - Republic of Korea
At the end of WWII, Korea was divided into two territories, namely the Soviet Union that occupied the North and the USA that occupied the South. Following that, in 1948, two separate countries were established: North Korea (Democratic People's Republic of Korea) and South Korea (Republic of Korea). However, in 1950, the Korean War erupted when North Korea invaded South Korea. The Korean War was ended 3 years later via the Korean Armistice Agreement, yet until today, there is ongoing conflict between North Korea and South Korea.
Map 80. North Korea and South Korea
Section H4.6 Palestine
The Israeli-Palestine Conflict started in 1947 when the United Nations approved the Palestine Partition Plan. Since then, repeated wars have erupted between the State of Israel and the Arab countries when some countries have involved in the fighting against Israel, while others have given Military Aid. However, in 1979, a ‘Cold Peace Agreement’ was signed between Israel and Egypt that marked the returning of occupied Sinai, yet without returning Gaza, while in 1994, a ‘Cold Peace Agreement’ was also signed with Jordan, yet without returning the occupied West Bank (Cite 4). Since then, the Israeli-Palestine Conflict has focused on the ‘One-State Solution’ - Israeli Annexation of the West Bank and Gaza versus the Two-States Solution - Establishment of the State of Palestine as an Independent Country that will include the West Bank and Gaza (Cites 6-7).
Map 81. Map of the State of Palestine based on the 1967 Green-Line (International Law), which includes Gaza, West Bank and East Jerusalem
Cite 6. Israel - Apartheid State?: Two-State Solution vs. One-State Solution, Monitoring Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 6 February 2022 https://www.rozen-bakher.com/monitoring-risks/06/02/2022
Cite 7. Is Israel can Afford the Occupation of Palestine?: ‘Soft Extinction’ versus ‘Hard Extinction’, Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 17 April 2024 https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/17/04/2024/0634