Iraq and Iran: Israel
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/27/05/2022/2100
Published Date: 27 May 2022
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Comments on Contemporary Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks-all
Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Researcher in International Relations with a Focus on Security, Political and Economic Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade
27 May 2022 at 21:00. The Iraqi new bill that criminalises any relations with Israel, including business ties, with a punishment of the death penalty or life sentence, despite that Iraq has no diplomatic relations with Israel. More specifically, Iraq has no diplomatic relations with Israel, yet the bill may target Iraqis that have dual citizenship or foreign businessmen that act in Iraq, yet with access to Iran.
Hence, this bill gives us several important indications: i) Iraq and Iran are getting closer, so Iraq, like Saudi Arabia, cares less about what the best ally of Israel, the USA, will think about this bill. Hence, my speculation is that Iraq moved from being closer to the USA to being closer to Russia, which was reflected in the abstain vote of Iraq in two UN votes regarding Russia-Ukraine. ii) This bill removed any doubt that the Iran nuclear deal is doomed. iii) My speculation is that this bill is also related to the latest assassination of the colonel from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, namely to the suspect that this assassination was done by people with business ties to the enemies of Iran, so Iraq may try to help Iran to prevent the next assassination in Iran by the West.
