Are Sanctions Effective under the Global Mechanism of Middle Trade Brokers?
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/30/09/2022/0247
Published Date: 30 September 2022 at 02:47
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Comments on Contemporary Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
From other Research Activities of Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher:
30 September 2022 at 02:47. The USA has already overused the sanctions tool, so if the USA starts to impose secondary sanctions against firms and individuals that serve as middle trade brokers of export and import, then the USA takes the risk that at some point, firms and individuals will ignore these sanctions by stopping working with the USA and even with the West if these sanctions are applied to USA allies. To understand why it will happen, I need to explain the nature of international trade. Always, regardless of sanctions, the mechanism of international trade is based inherently on middle trade brokers namely, a firm X from country A imports goods from country B and then exports them to a firm Y from country C, and then firm Y exports them to firm Z from country D. Thereby, this trade path could have many hands until reaching the final destination, and because of this nature of international trade, it is easy to bypass sanctions, especially if someone plans a sophisticated trade path. Thus, if we look at the level of secondary sanctions, then it is very difficult to identify the trade path in which firms intentionally are involved in bypassing sanctions and which are not. Importantly, this nature of international trade explains why it is easy to bypass sanctions, especially if the trade path includes many trade brokers, which is usually the case. Perhaps the nature of international trade explains why the sanctions tool is doomed to fall. Therefore, the USA is taking a big risk in creating antagonism against her by the players in the global market in a way that the players will prefer to not deal with the USA, namely to work with the East over the West.
