Havana Syndrome - BioTech Weapon
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/monitoring-risks/04/02/2022
Published Date: 04 February 2022
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Monitoring Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Analysing in-Depth Security & Political Risks and Economic & Strategic Risks
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Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Researcher in International Relations with a Focus on Security, Political and Economic Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade
Havana Syndrome - BioTech Weapon, 4 February 2022
Havana Syndrome could be caused by pulsed energy devices – US expert report | US news | The Guardian
Why monitor the risk of Havana Syndrome, in which attacks have so far occurred against about 200 USA administration officers and their families, especially from the CIA?
Havana Syndrome attacks were carried out by BioTech Weapons, which may be in the prototype stage but have the potential to evolve into mass-produced BioTech weapons that could be used against armies on battlefields or against civilian populations during wars.
Biological Weapons are prohibited according to the Biological Weapons Convention, so using a Biological weapon via advanced technology should be prohibited under the Biological Weapons Convention because of the biological damage to the human body.
At the legal level, using BioTech Weapon should be categorised under Crimes against Humanity because it’s a de-facto Biological weapon.
Is the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ developed from scratch via R&D or it an integrated product?
The first option is that the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ has developed from scratch via R&D, yet under a very slow developing process of R&D because of the very low frequency of attacks and scope of attacks since the start of Havana Syndrome in 2016. In this option, it is likely that the developer is an army of a country or a governmental defence producer, yet the slow development may signal that it has been developed by a terrorist global group with limited sources, especially because of the target group (only USA administration), the scope of attacks (around 200 attacks in app. 5 years) and the locations of attacks (limited locations).
The second option is that ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ is an integrated global product that developed based on existing products manufactured by firms from around the world, yet these firms may know or may not know that their products are used for BioTech weapons. In this option, all the scenarios are on the table, so the developer could be a formal country, a global terrorist group, a small terrorist group or even a wolf terrorist. Again, the very low frequency of attacks in approximately 5 years signals that limited sources were provided for this R&D, either by a formal country or due to the real limited sources of the developer (e.g., a terrorist group). In the case of an integrated global product, the important questions that arise are how many Multinational Enterprises (MNEs) are involved in this project, either with their knowledge or not, that it is used for the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’?, and if these MNEs know about other MNEs that are involved in this project?
What is the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’?
Until now, it’s unclear what the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ is, yet a few options arise, either combined or not combined, such as pulsed electromagnetic energy and ultrasound plausible, Microwaves, Ultrasound, Sound, and Biochemical-Tech.
Is the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome’ based on a ‘Cyber-BioTech Weapon’ or a ‘Non-Cyber BioTech Weapon’?
In the case of a ‘Cyber-BioTech Weapon’, the specific location of those that are under attack may be tracked via cyber, such as laptops, computers, and smartphones. However, in the case of a ‘Non-Cyber BioTech Weapon’, the specific attack location is chosen based on a certain building that served the USA administration or based on a certain location that the USA officers are supposed to be, such as hotels or a meeting place.
Is the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ needed at close distance from those under attack, or could it be carried out from a far distance by advanced technology?
The common assumption that arises in reporting about Havana Syndrome in the news is that it needed close distance to carry out the attacks of Havana Syndrome. However, the option of the ability to carry out the attacks of Havana Syndrome from afar should not be eliminated because of the advanced satellite and space technologies, such as Space Tracking Radars or TT&C stations. Thereby, if the attacks of Havana Syndrome could be carried out from a far distance, then the chosen locations may try to manipulate the revealing of the source of the attacker. Nevertheless, if the attacks of Havana Syndrome are needed to be carried out from a short distance, then the chosen locations of the attacks may give a clue about the source of the attacker.
What are the motives of Havana Syndrome attacks that target only the USA administration and their families, and in particular, the CIA?
Choosing the USA administration and their families, and the CIA, in particular, as the main target group for Havana Syndrome attacks may signal the following motives:
Historical revenge in the USA, and in particular, in the CIA due to a specific important event that occurred before the start of Havana Syndrome attacks in 2016.
Counter-activity for the USA and CIA by a country or a terrorist group that the CIA targets intensively at least a few years before the Havana Syndrome attacks in 2016.
Creating fear and chaos in the workings of USA diplomats and the CIA, regardless of any past event or intense activity by the CIA against the attacker. This motive is based on sabotaging the diplomatic work of USA officers by creating fear that visiting foreign countries may end in Havana Syndrome attacks. If this motive applies, then it is likely that a significant rival of the USA may be involved in the attacks in trying to sabotage the foreign affairs of the USA, such as by causing fewer visits of the USA’s high-ranking officers in foreign countries.
Could the locations of attacks of Havana Syndrome reveal the source of the attacker?
Havana Syndrome attacks occur in the following limited locations: Cuba, China, Washington DC-USA, Vietnam, India, Vienna-Austria, Berlin-Germany, Serbia, London-UK, Australia, Taiwan, and Colombia.
If the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ is non-cyber and it is needed a short distance from those who are targeted for attack, then the attackers need assistance from local collaborators to get the equipment into the target country (e.g., airports) and to carry out the attack in the specific location in terms of getting intelligence information about the specific location of USA officers when they visit a foreign country or when the best timing for attack is if they are at a permanent facility (e.g., embassy).
Hence, Cuba, China, Vietnam, India, and Taiwan may signal a communist source, while Vienna-Austria, Berlin-Germany, and Serbia may signal a USSR source and even a far-right source in the case of a sophisticated small terror group. Still, the locations of Washington DC-USA, London-UK, Australia, and Colombia may signal the ability of the attacker to carry out attacks in the ‘home bases’ of the USA.
Who is beyond the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’?
ALL the following criteria must apply for the attacker:
Enemy of the USA, especially of the CIA.
A Capability of advanced technology, including advanced R&D to develop from scratch BioTech Weapon or a collaboration with leading MNEs to create an integrated product as a BioTech Weapon.
Access to local collaborators in the locations of attacks in terms of intelligence and assistance to carry out the attacks.
Will the developer of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ expand the attacks beyond USA administration and the CIA in case of war or significant conflict?
That’s the risk.
