Russia and Iran: Syria
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/22/12/2022/0450
Published Date: 22 December 2022
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
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Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Researcher in International Relations with a Focus on Security, Political and Economic Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade
22 December 2022 at 04:50. The new strategic alliance between Russia and Iran is going to impact significantly the demand that Syria should get back all territories that are under foreign forces. Israel has already annexed the Golan Heights, but my prediction is that nothing will be the same for Israel because of the new military alliance between Russia and Iran, which also refers to the Israeli status in the Golan Heights. In case of an all-out war in Israel, then likely it will include the inner circle of the Gaza Strip, West Bank, Golan Heights, and South Lebanon, but it may also include an external circle, such as from Iran's direction. Perhaps the 1973 Arab–Israeli War could give us a clue about the inner and external circles of all-out war in Israel. In the 1973 Arab–Israeli War, Egypt, Syria, Jordan, and Iraq led the war, yet there were other countries that sent troops or weapons to the inner Arab circle, such as Algeria, East Germany, Saudi Arabia, North Korea, Pakistan, Libya, Kuwait, Morocco, Sudan, and Tunisia. Hence, my prediction is that in the next all-out war in Israel, the concept of inner and external circles will be the same, yet the combination of the players will be different.
