To Be or Not to Be State of Israel: Ending the Occupation of Palestine

Written By Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/04/07/2023/1312

Published Date: 04 July 2023

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Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Researcher in International Relations with a Focus on Security, Political and Economic Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade

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04 July 2023 at 13:12. The Head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, predicted that the State of Palestine will not be, while on the contrary, I predict that if Israel does not end the occupation of Palestine, then the State of Israel will not be. Why? Because the Islamic world is much stronger than Israel, so they will not allow Israel to continue with ethnic cleansing, Apartheid, Massacre of young Palestinians, Preventing Health care for dying Palestinians, and intentional Pogroms by IDF and Jewish shelters to destroy homes, civilian facilities, and infrastructure. The State of Israel under the Far-Right government of Netanyahu has already passed the stage of shamefulness and morality, so let’s put it aside, and let’s talk about NUMBERS and STRATEGY, namely why and how the Islamic world has the ability to make Israel ‘Not to be’.

I assume that the head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, and many others in Israel think that the IDF is a powerful army that has unlimited power to survive a big war against the Islamic world, but they are clearly wrong. Why? NUMBERS as we can see in the table below from the 2023 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher. Still, keep in mind that in case of conflict, some Islamic countries will be militarily active in the war, while others will give assistance, such as weapons and money and even as a base for military operations. Importantly, I assume that the State of Israel also believes that if ‘something bad’ will be started, namely a BIG LONG WAR between Israel and the Islamic world, then the USA, Germany, and the EU will be able to assist them, but Israel is clearly wrong. Why? STRATEGY as we can see in the Energy table below, as well as in the table that compares the USA Coalition and the Russia-China Coalition amid the Ukraine war that weakens the geopolitical position of the USA due to the change in the global order.

To make the story of the strategy short, then Israel and its allies should learn from what happened in the past, namely in the 1970s Energy Oil Crisis, but now it will be worse because we will have both an Oil Crisis and a Gas Crisis. Thus, try to imagine how Germany will be able to help Israel without Gas (see related news about Qatar) or even try to imagine how the Powerful USA will be able to help Israel without Oil (see related news about Saudi Arabia and Russia). The recent JOINT cutting of oil production by Saudi Arabia and Russia, both of them members of OPEC Plus, is a clear indication of the ‘ART of Oil Price’, namely Less Production-Higher Price. Still, we should remember that in the 1970s Energy Oil Crisis, OPEC not only CUT the oil production but de-facto made Embargo/Sanctions on Oil Exports to the West. If Tzachi Hanegbi forgets, then I will remind him that the 1970s Energy Oil Crisis started in October 1973 when Yom-Kippur War erupted. Importantly, in the 1970s, the USA had more Oil Reserves and Gas Reserves compared to its current reserves, so if OPEC and OPEC Plus, which mainly includes Islamic countries and other countries that clearly don’t like the USA and Israel, decide today to impose a Formal/Informal Embargo/Sanctions on Oil Exports to the USA, the EU and others ‘Friends of Israel’, then in the good scenario, the war will end with the ending of Israeli Occupation of Palestine, while in the bad scenario, the Islamic world will make its revenge on Israel via mass destruction before the war is over.

Nevertheless, today, we also have ‘Textile Factories’ in Israel, Iran, Pakistan, and other countries that already produce or have the possibility to produce ‘Dangerous Clothing’, so in the worst scenario, the war could be involved with ‘Dangerous Clothing’, namely ‘Not to Be’, especially in the case of countries with a small-sized area. Finally, the State of Israel should remember that no one will agree to live under occupation. The Youth Palestinians are not Terrorists but young people that have the right to live their lives as Free citizens in the State of Palestine like the Youth Israelis that have the right to live their lives in the State of Israel.

Islamic World - 2023 Global Survival Rank (GSR)

2023 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher https://www.rozen-bakher.com/global-survival-rank-zrb/2023

Islamic World, 2023 Global Energy Rank (GSR) - Oil and Gas Proved Reserves (GSR Indicators 5 and 6)

2023 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher https://www.rozen-bakher.com/global-survival-rank-zrb/2023

All Countries, 2023 Global Energy Rank (GSR) - Oil and Gas Proved Reserves (GSR Indicators 5 and 6), Sorted By Coalition

2023 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher https://www.rozen-bakher.com/global-survival-rank-zrb/2023

Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher - A Researcher in International Relations with a Focus on Security, Political and Economic Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade

https://www.rozen-bakher.com/
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