Ukraine Counteroffensive
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/16/06/2023/1702
Published Date: 16 June 2023
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Comments on Contemporary Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher: https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks-all
Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Researcher in International Relations with a Focus on Security, Political and Economic Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade
16 June 2023 at 17:02. After a long winter and preparation, Ukraine has started its counteroffensive against Russia, but clearly, Ukraine's counteroffensive has failed, even without the need to wait a long time to know it or to pay an additional ‘high cost’. If I compared my Global Survival Rank (GSR) between Russia and Ukraine (see below), then we even understand rationally why Ukraine has no ability to win a war against Russia, especially a long war, even with Military Aid and Civil Aid from the USA Coalition. Hence, Ukraine should find a way out of this war to stop the ‘high cost’ via an immediate ceasefire to allow negotiation. It’s better for Ukraine to compromise than to continue with this useless war that reminds World War I, namely each side made minor progress on the battlefields over many years. Still, we should take into account that at the start of the war, Russia succeeded in annexing significant territory that Ukraine is unlikely to succeed in taking back via a counteroffensive, but perhaps part of it via diplomatic negotiation.
We need to be brave to get into a war but even more brave to make peace with an enemy.
2023 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher https://www.rozen-bakher.com/global-survival-rank-zrb/2023
2023 Global Survival Rank (GSR) by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher https://www.rozen-bakher.com/global-survival-rank-zrb/2023
